Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.048341 0.052568 0.056850 0.061508 0.066422 0.071446 0.076964
2025-06-15 0.042053 0.048280 0.054818 0.062165 0.070166 0.078589 0.088100
2025-06-22 0.037152 0.044786 0.053055 0.062616 0.073307 0.084832 0.098136
2025-06-29 0.032973 0.041589 0.051195 0.062587 0.075620 0.089960 0.106823
2025-07-06 0.030651 0.040214 0.051141 0.064380 0.079815 0.097079 0.117684
2025-07-13 0.027438 0.037488 0.049263 0.063834 0.081140 0.100805 0.124607
2025-07-20 0.025065 0.035556 0.048134 0.063999 0.083150 0.105215 0.132246
2025-07-27 0.023396 0.034346 0.047748 0.064939 0.085991 0.110536 0.140915
2025-08-03 0.022211 0.033643 0.047900 0.066464 0.089484 0.116603 0.150467
2025-08-10 0.019524 0.030792 0.045184 0.064281 0.088330 0.117023 0.153240
2025-08-17 0.017808 0.029113 0.043856 0.063741 0.089115 0.119712 0.158678
2025-08-24 0.016253 0.027542 0.042574 0.063170 0.089790 0.122214 0.163858
2025-08-31 0.015702 0.027376 0.043175 0.065090 0.093688 0.128791 0.174162
2025-09-07 0.014928 0.026838 0.043240 0.066286 0.096667 0.134255 0.183157
2025-09-14 0.014053 0.026091 0.042972 0.067006 0.099016 0.138939 0.191218
2025-09-21 0.013046 0.025074 0.042269 0.067095 0.100515 0.142539 0.197940
2025-09-28 0.012692 0.025034 0.042931 0.069034 0.104446 0.149241 0.208577
2025-10-05 0.011627 0.023805 0.041826 0.068489 0.105053 0.151685 0.213862
2025-10-12 0.010854 0.022988 0.041275 0.068675 0.106606 0.155329 0.220664
2025-10-19 0.010358 0.022590 0.041313 0.069669 0.109236 0.160360 0.229240
2025-10-26 0.010053 0.022489 0.041784 0.071273 0.112697 0.166490 0.239250
2025-11-02 0.008810 0.020689 0.039594 0.068982 0.110777 0.165548 0.240165
2025-11-09 0.008071 0.019714 0.038624 0.068416 0.111192 0.167645 0.244977